Sunday, April 13, 2014

Hearthstone Arena Data after 700 matches

After 700 Hearthstone arena matches, I've had my ups and downs, but here are the black and white stats:

matcheswinswin %
70043261.71%

Well that isn't too enlightening, so let's break it down by what class I played:

my classmatcheswins aswin %
mage1087266.67%
rogue754965.33%
hunter553563.64%
warrior493163.27%
paladin1408762.14%
druid1257761.60%
priest553360.00%
shaman512752.94%
warlock422150.00%

Some of those are still subject to small sample size fluctuations, but I've done at least six arena runs as each. Clearly, I have a favored triad between Mage, Druid and Paladin. Each of those three I have played at least 12 runs, and while Mage backs up this preference with performance, Paladin and Druid are decidedly average. 

On the other side, I have no more than 9 runs with Rogue, Hunter, Warrior, Priest, Shaman, or Warlock. Don't ask me about how to play Warlock or Shaman, because I clearly don't have the answers. My style is to always clear the board and grind my opponent out of cards, trading life for time. That is almost certainly why I don't like Warlock, where the card quality is low and the pilot can trade life for cards at any time. Why then is my Shaman terrible? I truly don't know.

But this is only one side of the equation, let's also examine my performance from the other side of the table:

villain's classmatcheswins againstwin %
warrior695072.46%
priest473268.09%
rogue523567.31%
warlock463065.22%
shaman825263.41%
paladin1146859.65%
hunter694159.42%
mage1438156.64%
druid784355.13%

This table tells us a few things: 
  1. Mage is the most popular class, and seems correctly rumored to be strongest. My Mage win percentage is 67% and I am only 57% against. Shockingly, my overall is 62%.
  2. My "grind out an advantage" strategy is weak to mass removal (Mage & Druid), as well as direct damage (Hunter).
  3. Priest, Rogue, and Warlock lag behind in usage, for good reason.
Since I have played Magic (specifically limited) for so long, I am accustomed to playing one style and I don't think I adjust well to the added wrinkle of different classes playing different styles. This is my challenge to myself and I'll check back in after a few hundred more matches to let you know how the times are changing.

2 comments:

  1. man i have to get my act in gear on running my stats: basic summary - I'm 109-70 for a win rate of 60.89%. But if you throw away those 2 disastrous druid runs I just did I"m up to 62.29%. Also i've had the coin 55% of the time.
    But I'm no where near bca's 700 matches. That's the real tragedy. I need to get my ass in gear.

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    Replies
    1. next up is the class-v-class pivot table, just as soon as there is close to significant data.

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