Hearthstone Arena Data After 800 and 900 Matches

The last time I checked in with my arena stats,  I had a robust 61.7% win percentage in 700 lifetime matches.

In the two months since, I have racked up another 200 arena games played and ticked my win percentage higher over time.

matches	wins as	win%
800	495	61.88%

matches	wins as	win%
900	558	62.00%

I'll do the subtraction for you. Between 701-800, I won 63 and from 801-900 the same. Sure these are arbitrary endpoints, but there is some brutal consistency there.

There was not too much action on the class-specific data after 100 more matches, so let's skip to present day.

my class	matches	wins as	win%
mage	152	106	69.74%
rogue	116	75	64.66%
paladin	182	115	63.19%
priest	69	42	60.87%
druid	145	88	60.69%
hunter	66	40	60.61%
warrior	65	38	58.46%
shaman	58	31	53.45%
warlock	47	23	48.94%

Mage still rules the day, but I have had some great decks recently, pushing its winrate well above the field. On the flip side, I tried one more Warlock and went 2-3, dropping below 50% lifetime with that class. 

Villain's class	matches	wins against	win%
warrior	82	57	69.51%
priest	62	41	66.13%
shaman	103	67	65.05%
warlock	60	39	65.00%
rogue	68	44	64.71%
paladin	148	90	60.81%
hunter	81	49	60.49%
druid	105	62	59.05%
mage	191	109	57.07%

On Villain's side of the table, I have brought my record against both Mages and Druids up significantly, but lost some of my advantage against Warrior, Priest, and Rogue.

After 115 arena runs, I have five 12-win runs to my name, two Mages, and one each from Rogue, Hunter, and Paladin. A single Rogue run is my only winless attempt, while there have been three Druids, two more Rogues, two Hunters, a Warrior, a Warlock, a Shaman and a Paladin for 11 single-win runs.

Takeaways:

• Rogue is high variance. It has my second-highest winrate, but three stinkers out of 14 runs.
• Priest and Mage have not yet let me down and in fact, my worst runs with Mage have been three wins.
• I overvalue Druid

I'm so confused by this article I don't even know where to start

So like a faithful nerd I read Kotaku religiously. Usually they are spot on but recently the posted an article I can't fathom why it matters. Here's the link "Here's how rare hearthstone cards actually are".

Limited Resources Swag at Card Kingdom

In case you missed it you can now get new swag from CK with the LR logo all over it. Check out this post for details.

And because Marshall does such good work on the youtubes you absolutely have to watch his add.

Excellent Limited Resources Podcast with guest Rich Hagon

aaaaaand we're back. sorry for the absence.

If you don't regularly listen to Limited Resources (what are you waiting for?) then you should head over there and check out podcast #235. I will just post their description of the cast:

<indent>This week on Limited Resources Marshall welcomes Pro Tour Statistician and coverage guru Rich Hagon on the show to talk about a variety of self-improvement related topics as well as an “Ask Me Anything” with Rich. This episode is emotional, deep, and Rich really lets us in and shows us what makes him tick.

The piano work done near the beginning and at the end of the show was recorded live in the hotel lobby and performed entirely by Rich.</indent>

google says this is Rich